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You might think, Oh, this event is more likely to happen, but that's not the same as it being more probable! Probability is about precise calculations, not gut feelings. For instance, rolling a 6 on a fair die is just Visit Pitfalls to avoid: Probability questions in O-Level Math (https://singapore.sgp1.vultrobjects.com/math-tuition/o-levels-math/pitfalls-to-avoid-probability-questions-in-o-level-math.html)
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